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Thursday, August 16, 2012

Info Post
From The Daily Beast....


Barack Obama Beating Mitt Romney in Confidence Game, But Will Likely Lose Election



"From the dawn of the republic, no president has ever won consecutive terms while drawing less support (in both the electoral college and the popular vote) in his second bid for election than he did in the first successful campaign. In other words, presidents who win reelection manage to earn more backers, not more opponents, during their first four years in the White House. If, on the other hand, their critics multiply and the pool of admirers shrinks in response to their record of leadership, the embattled president always loses. When some significant portion of the voters who backed a president the first time now feel disillusioned and join the opposition (or stay home), and if the incumbent can’t replace these losses with comparable gains from people who rejected him four years before, it’s an indication of a failed presidency.

Those who doubt the relevance of this rule to the present race should address a revealing question: what’s more common in today’s public discourse—people who say they voted for Barack Obama but now feel disappointed and betrayed, or voices declaring that they backed John McCain four years ago but now support the president because they’re inspired by the magnificent job he’s done?"
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"Democrats should ask themselves whether President Obama bears a stronger resemblance to the three recent winners (Reagan, Clinton, Bush II) or the three recent losers (Ford, Carter, Bush I). In terms of his economic situation, the unemployment rate is much higher, and the growth rate much lower than for any of the second-term winners in the last 40 years—and also far worse than for one of the second-term losers (the first President Bush). As far as temperament is considered, Barack Obama hardly comes across as a genial, sunny, easy-going people-pleaser like Reagan, Clinton, or even George W.—let alone recapturing the unshakable optimism of his hero, FDR. His dour personality may fit the national mood of the moment, but with his slashingly negative campaigning and inveterate blame-gaming, he hardly contributes to lifting the gloom. The tightly wound, suffering-servant aura that has clung to his presidency at least since the 2010 GOP landslide, links him far more closely to the electorally challenged trio of Ford, Carter, and Bush I than to the irresistible cheerfulness of the successfully reelected recent incumbents."

In 2008, Barack Obama won the popular vote 53 to 47 over John McCain and Sarah Palin. This came after 8 years of Bush, the height of the War in Iraq, and a complete financial meltdown. He also outspent McCain 3:1 nationwide. Barack Obama and his sidekick jokin' Joe Biden are both utter failures who cannot win again. The facts and history are stacked against them.

Most Recent Polls
*Romney ahead 3 points in Virginia
*Romney ahead 1 point in Wisconsin
*Romney ahead 2 points in Florida
*Romney ahead 2 points in Ohio
*Obama ahead 5 points in Pennsylvania

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