I regularly post the latest 2012 presidential race polling data on here, from all sources. But there is really only one I trust to give an accurate figure and that is Rasmussen.
Take the 2004 election between Bush and Kerry.
Rasmussen final prediction? Bush 50.2, Kerry 48.5.
Outcome: Bush 50.7, Kerry 48.2.
In 2008, Rasmussen predicted Obama 52, McCain 46.
Outcome: Obama 53, McCain 46.
That is scary good.
By comparison, here are the final predictions of some of the other pollsters in 2008...
Gallup- Obama 55, McCain 44
CBS News- Obama 51, McCain 42
NBC/WSJ- Obama 51, McCain 43
Reuters- Obama 54, McCain 43
Close but not deadly accurate.
Rasmussen currently has Romney ahead 47 to 44.
Take the 2004 election between Bush and Kerry.
Rasmussen final prediction? Bush 50.2, Kerry 48.5.
Outcome: Bush 50.7, Kerry 48.2.
In 2008, Rasmussen predicted Obama 52, McCain 46.
Outcome: Obama 53, McCain 46.
That is scary good.
By comparison, here are the final predictions of some of the other pollsters in 2008...
Gallup- Obama 55, McCain 44
CBS News- Obama 51, McCain 42
NBC/WSJ- Obama 51, McCain 43
Reuters- Obama 54, McCain 43
Close but not deadly accurate.
Rasmussen currently has Romney ahead 47 to 44.
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